In this article, based on a systematic analysis of the current geopolitical situation, an assessment of the scale of the impact of aggressive actions of a hybrid nature by the collective West on the socio-economic stability of Russia, possible directions for parrying these threats and measures to maintain the readiness of protection systems of the population and territories are proposed.

It is shown that in order to ensure food security on a global scale, it is necessary to focus on the interaction of genetics × environment × management (G × E × M), where management means, first of all, the use of a sufficient amount of mineral fertilizers in precision agriculture. This opens up the potential to feed 9 billion people. The current state of production and application of mineral fertilizers is described, and it is shown that at the same time it is necessary to invest in methane chemistry. The possible role of RES in fertilizer production is also considered. The article presents data showing that the increase in actual yield depends on mineral fertilizers, in the production of which it is necessary to use methane — a source of carbon dioxide and hydrogen, as well as an energy source.

State and municipal purchases play an important role in the functioning of the economy of various countries, and, according to the World Bank and the Organization for Economic Development and Cooperation, they account for up to 15% of expenditures in the structure of world GDP, and in some countries from 23 to 45%. The spread of the novel coronavirus pandemic has led to the need to strengthen the role of the state, its participation in regulating the national economy, and increasing spending on the social sphere. In this regard, the system of state and municipal procurement becomes an area of increased attention, and its effectiveness is comprehensively assessed. In the context of the high degree of uncertainty that has developed in world markets (closure of manufacturing plants, lockdowns and border closures), which has significantly limited the global turnover of goods, works and services, the risks of execution of state and municipal contracts are increasing significantly. In this regard, the purpose of the study is to analyze the reasons for termination of contacts in the system of Russian state and municipal procurement and substantiate proposals for minimizing the risks of termination for buyers and contract executors. The study used the methods of statistical, retrospective analysis, comparative analysis, forecasting elements, calculations were carried out using a system developed in the Python language. The data is aggregated into a PostgreSQL 12 relational database. The data analysis itself, the selection of dimensions and metrics, as well as their visualization are implemented in the Microsoft Power BI BI-system. As a result of the study, the following conclusions were obtained: the probability of termination of state and municipal contracts concluded on the basis of public procurement does not directly depend on such factors as savings in tenders, competition in tenders, the size of the participating company (small business), as well as the industry, under which the purchase is made. Issues related to the study of non-formalizable reasons for the termination of government contracts remain debatable.

The article discusses the issues of determining the criteria of social and personnel security of the region and assessing the risks of regional development. Criteria for assessing the social and personnel security of the region are identified, a system of these criteria is developed. The purpose of this article is to analyze approaches to assessing the level of social and personnel security of the region and to assess the level of social and personnel security of the region. The objectives of the work are to determine the list of indicators of social and personnel security of the region, to determine the relationships between them, as well as to form a system of indicators that allow assessing social security from the point of view of the quality of life of the population and indicators of personnel security of the region. The basis of the developed system is the use of statistical data and the relationships between indicators of social and personnel security. Based on the results of the study, an analysis of the social and personnel security of the Kirov region was carried out on the basis of the presented criteria.

The economic security of the country is impossible without ensuring the security of its regions. The concept of economic security is closely related to the concept of risk, threat. It is proposed to conduct a strategic analysis of the risks of economic security of the Kirov region using SWOT analysis. Where the indicators of the production and technological projection of economic security are considered as internal factors. And external factors are indicators of other projections of the economic security of the region. The use of expert scores in SWOT analysis makes it possible to determine the level of safety in the production and technological projection of the region. The purpose of this article is to analyze approaches to assessing the level of social and personnel security of the region and to assess the level of social and personnel security of the region.

Objective. In the last decade, there has been a significant increase in natural phenomena, leading to catastrophic consequences. In this regard, there is a need to use science-based risk-oriented approaches to ensure the safety of people and protect the environment. Zoning of territories according to the levels of risk of emergency situations makes it possible to effectively process and respond to risk. This paper presents an analysis of the risks inherent in natural and man-made disasters in the Southern Baikal Area of the Irkutsk Region and a quantitative assessment of their level based on the modern risk analysis methodology.

Methods. We used a retrospective statistical analysis and modeling of possible emergency situations. The processing and synthesis of statistical data was carried out as a whole for the Slyudyansky Municipality of the Irkutsk Region for the period 2015—2019 according to the data of the State Reports “On the State of the Protection of the Population and Territories of the Russian Federation from Natural and Man-made Emergencies” in the relevant years.

Results. We assessed the complex risk indicator of the territory, which consists of the potential territorial risk, and the collective risk indicator, which characterizes the level of damage. We calculated the average individual risk of death of the population as a result of the cumulative impact of the damaging factors of emergency situations. It was shown that it exceeded the values of the acceptable risk adopted for the Irkutsk Region by 4.2 times. Based on the modeling of manmade emergencies with depressurization of containers with hazardous substances transported by rail and modeling of damage during catastrophic earthquakes that are possible in a given area, social risk curves were calculated and built. Based on all the results obtained, the zoning of the territory of the Southern Baikal Area was carried out according to the risks of emergencies.

Conclusion. Based on the assessments of the complex risk, the territory of the Southern Baikal Area of the Irkutsk Region belongs to the zones with increased risk of natural and man-made emergency situations.

All over the world, the ESG agenda is receiving more and more attention from the leadership of countries, international organizations and companies. These trends can be reflected both in the operating activities of companies and in the way they raise funds in financial markets, as well as in the pricing of financing instruments such as bonds. The subject of the study is the yield of circulating bonds of issuers with a credit rating, as well as ESG risk expressed by the ESG rating assigned to the issuer. The aim of the study is to develop the author’s theoretical and methodological approach to modeling the pricing of bonds and calculating their yield to maturity, which, in addition to generally accepted factors, also takes into account the issuer’s ESG risks. The methodological base of the study includes the analysis and comparison of the yield to maturity of bonds of corporate borrowers against the zero-coupon yield curve of federal loan bonds, ratings of rating agencies regarding the creditworthiness of issuers and their ESG risks. The author uses the total risk premium approach and evaluates the risk premium for investing in the issuer’s bonds as the sum of premiums for certain types of risks. At the same time, the author proposes an author’s modification of this approach in order to take into account the grade of the issuer’s ESG rating in the risk premium of its bonds and, accordingly, their yield to maturity, which is the scientific novelty and relevance of this work. Based on the performed mathematical modeling, the obtained results demonstrate that investors differently evaluate the required yield to maturity for an asset, depending on the grade of the issuing company’s ESG rating. In addition to describing the observed non-linear relationship between the factors that characterize the company, its bond issues and the return required by investors, modeling makes it possible to conclude that in the current realities, the investment idea to invest in Russian companies that follow the concept of sustainable development is conservative. Following sustainable development strategies by a larger number of companies from different industries and regions, together with the development of regulation, will lead to the further development of the green finance market in Russia and the world, and an increase in the coverage of companies by rating agencies. This will provide the author’s approach with development prospects, in particular, the modeling will be enriched with a large amount of input data, it will take into account a larger number of companies and their bond issues, and the possibility of adding new factors to the model will be studied.