COLUMN EDITOR
SECURITY OF REGIONS
The purpose of the study is to highlight independent groups of economic security factors to es- tablish new safety characteristics, including on the basis of existing ones. This study proposes to use a traditional approach, but safety indicators are additionally grouped by factors (indicators) of potential and risk, adding new security aspects. In this case, the characterization of the econo- mic security of the region can be considered in the form of an alternative two-parametric model “Potential-Risk”. The model involves the use of three types of indicators, which, using threshold security levels, are translated into a single scale. The result is presented in the form of a quantita- tive and qualitative interpretation of regional security characteristics, including in the form of potential, risk, economic security, as well as a digital portrait of economic security.
The proposed model allows us to take a fresh look at the consequences of the negative impact of external shocks on the state of economic security, as well as on the ability of regional systems to recover. The work presents the results of the application of this model to assess the economic security in 85 constituent entities of the Russian Federation, in particular, the impact of the sanctions policy of unfriendly countries since 2014, as well as the spread of coronavirus infection in 2020 and post-shaped restoration. It was established that the restoration of economic security in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in 2021 occurred mainly due to the growth of potential efficiency, the probability of risks remained increased.
ENVIRONMENTAL RISK
The article is devoted to the environmental responsibility of the oil and gas business in the Arctic. Corporate social responsibility (CSR) is considered as a tool for assessing the implementation of the concept of regional development, the level of which is proposed to be measured by rating indicators. The analysis is based on the results of the Environmental transparency rating (ETR) of oil and gas companies for 2014-2022. Since 2023, the rating is no longer being implemented in Russia for geopolitical reasons, but it is extremely important to study the experience of its work and, perhaps, lay some of its aspects in the formation of such a national industry rating. The authors identified from the ETR only those companies that operate in the Arctic and identified the dynamics of greening of enterprises in the Arctic oil and gas sector in three sections: managerial, operational and informational. Over the 9-year period of the rating’s implementation, the leaders have changed periodically. For example, the three leaders of the rating in 2022 among other companies operating in the Arctic were Zarubezhneft, Lukoil, and equally Sakhalin Energy and Rosneft, while the best in 2014 were Sakhalin Energy, Gazprom, and Rosneft.
NATURAL RISK
The possible interconnections of some energy characteristics of bursts of cyclonic activity of tropical cyclones were investigated. The revealed regression interdependencies are inherent in all bursts, regardless of their diversity. The features of the nature of the rate of rise and fall of the burst energy of cyclonic activity are determined.
TECHNOGENIC RISK
The current risk-oriented approach in the field of industrial safety management, including a scenario approach, involves a quantitative assessment of the risk of the most dangerous and most likely accident scenarios of hazardous production facilities. Most of the possible emergency scenarios are accompanied by a single damaging factor, however, there are scenarios accompanied not by one, but by several damaging factors. Regulatory guidelines usually consider only one such accident scenario, namely BLEVE, which occurs when the containment of capacitive equipment is destroyed under pressure, heated by a flame or heat flow from outside. However, another kind of escalation scenario is possible when the shell of a tank containing superheated liquid under vapor pressure at ambient temperature is destroyed due to a mechanical impact (for example, a large flying debris). Management documents on industrial safety for quantitative assessment of emergency risk on the scale of risk indicators require to evaluate and rank accident scenarios: a) by probability; b) the amount of damage. If there are several damaging factors in the accident scenario, this requires a comparison of these factors with each other in terms of the degree of danger. The present article is devoted to this insufficiently researched issue. In it, according to the criterion of the conditional probability of fatal damage to people in open areas, a comparative analysis and ranking of the hazard of damaging factors of two escalation scenarios of an accident on a tank with hydrogen sulfide were performed: a) BLEVE; b) destruction of the tank at ambient temperature.
МЕНЕДЖМЕНТ РИСКА
The article is devoted to the current problem of risk-based management of regulated procurement, due to the high importance of state, municipal procurement and procurement of stateowned companies in the national economy. The purpose of the study is to summarize the author’s previous works, which have consistently, since 2016, studied various aspects of risk management: general approaches, methodologies and models, features of identifying and accounting for implicit risks in the field of state and municipal procurement, the impact of digitalization on management decision-making in uncertainty.
Thanks to the systematic work carried out, the author substantiates the modern concept of riskoriented management of regulated procurement, based on such principles as: dynamism, customer focus, integration into the company’s procurement management system, functioning within the framework of the platform economy.
The research methodology is based on a combination of methods of analysis, synthesis, expert assessments and management decision-making.
Unlike other studies on similar topics, the novelty of the concept proposed by the author lies in the accounting and mapping of procurement risks not so much from the point of view of compliance with budget legislation, but from the point of view of the quality of management decisionmaking by procurement specialists.
Theoretical results are associated with the development of the theory of state regulation of the economy, the management of state and municipal purchases. The practical value of the work is associated with the development of a new type of risk maps for the implementation of modern risk-based management of regulated procurement.
The article provides an analysis of approaches to the identification and risk management of quality management systems of industrial enterprises, conclusions are drawn about their distinctive advantages and disadvantages, as well as the possibility of their application at nuclear industry enterprises. An original personalized approach to the construction and development of a quality management system based on a risk-based approach in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001:2015 and taking into account the specifics of the activities of industrial organizations is proposed. An example of an algorithm for assessing the risks of Quality management systems and measures to reduce the level of risks using this approach is given for an industrial enterprise of the ROSATOM, which can be applied in various industries and may be of interest to researchers and specialists in the field of risk management.
DISCUSSION CLUB
The possible influence of gravity anomalies on some parameters of landfalling tropical cyclones was investigated. These have always been the final stages in the development of tropical cyclones. Tropical cyclones in the northwestern part of the Atlantic Ocean were considered in the computa- tional experiment. A regression dependence of the duration of the cyclone trajectory in combina- tion with the average speed of maximum winds on the values of gravity anomalies in the zone of the tropical cyclone stage under consideration was revealed.
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