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Issues of Risk Analysis

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Vol 14, No 2 (2017)
View or download the full issue PDF (Russian)
https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2017-14-2

COLUMN EDITOR

ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY

6-21 614
Abstract

The article deals with the issues of the man-nature interaction, both globally and in the Russian Federation.

22-29 377
Abstract
Existence of the disturbed and contaminated soils on the island Bely (KaraSea), as a result of long functioning of polar infrastructure is established. The problem of risk of the disturbed and contaminated soils is solved by their recultivation with use of peat and received from its potassium humate as growth and development factor of plants. The possibility of the similar recultivation of soils which is carried out taking into account their full moisture capacity was estimated in the conditions of in vitro experiment by means of the biochemical analysis. Such methodological approach allows promptitude to obtain necessary information for carrying out large-scale in situ of recultivation of soils.
30-35 451
Abstract

Risk of the disturbed tundra soils of theTazPeninsula(Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug) around productive activity of Gazprom Dobycha Yamburg LLC is estimated. The problem of risk of the disturbed soils is solved by their recultivation with use of peat and determination of efficiency of this process by means of the biochemical analysis of soils.

36-51 480
Abstract

The attempt to estimate risk degree to health of the population bound to ecological parameters of the environment  for lack of significant industrial loads on the example of the town is made. The ecological state was determined by bioindicators (morphosis of wood vegetation, the fluctuating asymmetry of leaves, change of biological activity of the soil in city conditions) and by physical and chemical parameters (pollution of soils by heavy metals, a transport load and air pollution, tension of the geomagnetic field). Health of the population was estimated on diseases of acute respiratory infections, pneumonia, angina, asthma, allergic rhinitis and atopic dermatitis. The correlation between integrated assessment of an ecological condition and health of the population at the level of residential districts of the city was significative (the coefficient of correlation is 0,65), demonstrating that health of the person should consider existence of risk from influence of the environment even in the conditions of low anthropogenous loads.

GEOECOLOGICAL AND GEOPOLITICAL RISKS

52-62 622
Abstract

The article is devoted to the issues of geoecology and geopolitics in theArctic. The authors reveal the importance of the combined accounting of geo-environmental (GER) and geopolitical (GPR) risks in the industrial development of the Arctic territory. Special attention is paid to the ratings of the risks of the oil and gas industry in 2009—2015 with a focus on the key issues, the transformation of risks into opportunities and the importance of the relationship and interaction of the GER and GPR for strategy management, planning and development business in the Arctic region.

64-73 730
Abstract

The paper discusses the basic concepts and principles of representation of geographic information on hazardous natural processes in the economic marine systems. Scenario approach to assess the risks, which taking into account the climate change affecting the probability of hazards, and the time component of vulnerability, are proposed. This approach also allows explicitly compares different strategies of economic activity. The main types of spatial objects constituting geomodel of economic marine systems are considered.

74-82 504
Abstract

The article is devoted to the issues of environmental ratings an incentive to reduce geoenvironmental risk of oil and gas companies, operating in theArctic. The authors disclose the need of environmental rating using for oil and gas industry inRussia. Particular attention is given to the issues of rating results of Environmental Responsibility of Oil and Gas companies in Russiathat was first held in 2014 and then in 2015. It was conducted by the cooperative initiative by CREON Group and WWF Russia with participation of National Rating Agency. The authors have selected from all russian oil and gas companies only those who operating in the Arctic region and they have analyzed them.The rating’s results show that there are «top three» among russian oil and gas companies, operating in theArctic. They are Gazprom, Sakhalin Energy (Sakhalin-2) and Zarubezhneft. There are also different companies in rating’s sectors. For instance, the best position of section «Environmental impact» belong to Gazprom, Zarubezhneft, LUKOIL. In whole, the environmental rating of Russian oil and gas companies, operating in theArctic, can be an incentive to reduce here geoecological risks, and to create a new mechanism to inform foreign investors that can contribute to the growth of foreign direct investment inRussiaand environmental safety in theArctic.

RISK MANAGEMENT

84-91 443
Abstract

In the operation of gas facilities in the zone of continuous distribution of permafrost there is a risk of development of negative geocryological processes and phenomena. One of them is cryogenic heaving of soils, which is manifested in the form of mounds heaving and frost cracking, leading to deformations and displacements of pile foundations. Control and management of this process includes geotechnical monitoring of bases and foundations with a forced discharge of grounds strain, which virtually eliminates the risk of accidents.

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ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)