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Methods and Models for Risk Assessment of Natural and Technical Systems
EDN: XUJHUH
Abstract
The purpose of the study is to develop effective methods for quantitative risk assessment in conditions of increasing complexity of technical systems and increasing the negative impact of natural factors.
The article presents a comprehensive analysis of modern methodological approaches to assessing the risk of natural and technical systems. Theoretical and practical aspects of emergency forecasting are considered. The existing methodological approaches to risk research were systematized, as a result of which four key groups were identified: theoretical, statistical, heuristic and complex. Advantages and disadvantages of each approach are analyzed in detail, a typology of risk assessment methods is presented, including computational-analytical, statistical and expertassessment methods.
About the Authors
E. A. Efimenko
Murmansk Arctic University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Ekaterina A. Efimenko
Kapitana Egorova str., 15, Murmansk, 183038
E. A. Rumiantceva
Murmansk Arctic University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Ekaterina A. Rumiantceva
Kapitana Egorova str., 15, Murmansk, 183038
References
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Review
For citations:
Efimenko E.A., Rumiantceva E.A. Methods and Models for Risk Assessment of Natural and Technical Systems. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2025;22(6):46-55. (In Russ.) EDN: XUJHUH
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