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Issues of Risk Analysis

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Vol 23, No 1 (2026)
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COLUMN EDITOR

RISK OF EMERGENCY SITUATIONS

14-25 192
Abstract

Currently, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are one of the main means that pose a potential danger of emergencies when affecting facilities that ensure the livelihoods of the population, critical for the country's economy, as well as the territories of settlements, primarily large cities. In the article, based on open source data, an analysis of the damaging effect of unmanned aerial vehicles is carried out, the experience of using various methods of protection against them is summarized, proposals are formed to reduce the risks from their impact.

26-35 148
Abstract

A methodological approach to substantiating an integrated system for protecting objects from a massive attack by unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), providing for active, passive and postemergency protection measures, is presented. Further development and practical application of this methodology will prevent the loss of personnel of the facility and the population living near it, as well as material damage to the facilities themselves and adjacent territories.

RISK MANAGEMENT

36-49 165
Abstract

The article considers the author's model for the maturity of risk management systems for entities involved in developing computer software and providing consulting services in this area. The key aspects of its development were the results of an analysis of popular maturity models such as RM Maturity Model, The Management of Risk Maturity Model, RMM, and RM3, based on which requirements were formulated for a domestic RMS model applicable to the IT-field. It was determined that the RMS maturity model should be accompanied by reduced material damage and harm to stakeholders, increased maturity levels, and compliance with national risk management standards. In addition, specialists responsible for managing risks must meet professional standards, and evaluation of the criteria for the developed model allowed us to determine that it meets all requirements, indicating its potential effectiveness in mitigating risks. Depending on its development, an entity can be assigned to one of three levels of maturity – «Low», «Medium», or «High». If an entity has a «Low» level of RMS, it is characterized by a high frequency of materialized risks leading to large amounts of damage, both to itself and to interested parties. An entity with a «Medium» level has an acceptable number of risks leading to «controlled» amounts of damage. At the «High» level, the entity does not experience events that could negatively affect IT-product creation during IT-project implementation (sprint, lifecycle phase, contract, etc.).

50-59 137
Abstract

This article examines the risks associated with implementing innovative projects at Russian industrial enterprises. The objective of the study is to substantiate the thesis that the development and implementation of innovations is both a risk escalator and a risk mitigation tool. The article identifies the sources, nature, and essential characteristics of industrial enterprise risks. The article presents the types of risks faced by industrial enterprises implementing innovative projects, highlighting strategic risks, or the risks of failing to achieve economic and innovative development targets. Using a multiple correlation model, it analyzes the impact of R&D expenditures on the key performance indicators of industrial enterprises and their competitiveness. Variable scenarios of dynamics of economic performance indicators of Baltic Plant JSC and Chelyabtorgtekhnika Plant LLC are presented, which confirm the leading role of R&D expenses in ensuring the progressive dynamics of production and export volumes, regardless of the type of enterprises. The possibility of neutralizing risk-generating factors by implementing a project-based approach to risk management is substantiated. Emphasis is placed on the need to integrate innovation project management tools and risk management tools, taking into account the specifics of the project lifecycle. This allows R&D expenditures to be considered as a tool for preventing the risks of reducing the competitiveness of an industrial enterprise.

ECONOMIC SAFETY

60-68 109
Abstract

The relevance of forming a professional standard model for economic security remains very high: against the background of an increasing number of threats and high turbulence of the Russian economy in the domestic labor market, the need for specialists in economic security is significantly increasing. The professional standard of an economic security specialist is currently not approved, which causes a number of difficulties in the training and recruitment system. Another important reason is the need to carry out serious systematic work on the formation of a modern mechanism for staffing and evaluating the qualifications of employees in the field of economic security. The purpose of the study is to substantiate the normative and theoretical and practical foundations for the formation of a professional standard model for economic security in the context of the development of the national qualifications system. The research methodology is based on the application of systematization methods.

ENVIRONMENTAL RISK

70-81 126
Abstract

The need for artificial soil creation is examined, and the potential for assessing their applicability using ecological-economic approaches is characterized, primarily through the application of the Agency for Strategic Initiatives (ASI) concept of "units of nature." A systematic description is provided of both the methods for creating artificial soil technologies and the assessment of the resulting environmental, economic, and financial risks, as well as management approaches within the conceptual approach of "units of nature".

DISCUSSION CLUB

82-90 112
Abstract

The article addresses issues related to the quality and methods of presentation of individual risk to a wide audience. At the beginning of the work, a historical excursion is given to illustrate the key idea: the form of presentation of information should correspond to the purposes of its practical use, and not only to formal requirements.
The aim of the article is to present important aspects of risk presentation, as well as to outline some considerations regarding the prospective dynamic presentation of risks. The paper critically analyzes the traditional tabular form of data presentation and its low practical usefulness for a non-specialist. As an alternative, visualization in the form of a “risk ladder” is considered, and to improve intuitive comprehensibility it is proposed to use the unit of measurement “micromort” (one chance in a million), allowing for comparison of heterogeneous risks.
The final part proposes an innovative approach to integrating individual risk assessment into everyday life through mapping applications. The aim of such an approach is not only to inform the user about the relative danger of different routes, but also to promote the formation of a risk assessment culture, taking into account technological limitations, practical usefulness and ethical aspects.



ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)