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Issues of Risk Analysis

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Vol 22, No 4 (2025)
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COLUMN EDITOR

HEALTH RISK

12–20 20
Abstract

The Kerch strait accident in December 2024 once again attracted the attention of not only experts in the field of eliminating the technical causes and consequences of technogenic accidents, but also scientists assessing the damage caused to nature and human health. The analysis of the information accumulated in the world practice concerning various aspects of this problem can contribute to a better understanding of its importance, and, therefore, be of interest for its constructive solution.

The aim of this review is to analyze the available information on the consequences of oil and petroleum product spill precedents in domestic and international practice, as well as scientific and research data that make it possible to assess and predict possible effects on human health. It is made in the following directions: l precedents of such accidents in domestic and international practice; characteristics of oil and petroleum products and their impact on environmental objects. l epidemiological studies of the consequences of oil and petroleum product spill accidents; l experimental and field studies of the physiological effects of influence on representatives of the animal world.

ENVIRONMENTAL RISK

22–32 10
Abstract

A biogeochemical technology has been developed for cleaning sand ground contaminated with fuel oil on the Black Sea coast following an accidental spill in December 2024. The corresponding technological regulations are described, and examples of the practical use of the developed technology are given.

34–43 13
Abstract
   


The article is devoted to environmental risk management using the example of assessing the impact of the oil and gas business on the atmosphere. The activities of Sakhalin Energy LLC (hereinafter referred to as Sakhalin Energy) for 2012–2024 are considered. The study is based on materials from approved reports on the company's sustainable development. The dynamics of gross and specific emissions, as well as costs of air protection and fees for emissions into the atmosphere are analyzed. A summary table is compiled with annual changes in the number of emissions as a percentage in relation to the previous year and the year of the beginning of the study period with the identification of the corresponding causes. A conclusion is made about the possibility of managing environmental risks, primarily based on the company's commitment to environmental standards. It is shown that more consistent steps are needed to implement the intended goals, as well as sustainable financing of environmental initiatives.

RISK MANAGEMENT

44–55 10
Abstract

The article analyzes key aspects of assignment climate ratings of Russian companies. Particular attention is paid to the importance of such ratings in the context of choosing optimal measures to adapt the Russian economy to climate change. The study covers foreign methods for assessing and substantiates the need to develop national rating platforms that take into account the specifics of the Russian economy and reduce dependence on Western providers of rating assessments. Industry specifics are considered in relation to assessing climate ratings. Examples of key climate indicators and metrics used by various rating agencies are given. In conclusion, it is concluded that the lack of a unified methodology and the diversity of rating platforms make it difficult to compare the level of development of the climate agenda of Russian companies, which complicates the decision-making process for both government agencies and individual investors.

56–67 7
Abstract

The article discusses the problems of financial risk management in the implementation of projects related to cultural heritage sites in Russia. There is a deterioration in the physical condition of most of the registered facilities, institutional inconsistency between the levels of government and the lack of a unified digital database. There are levels of activities when working with cultural heritage sites, each of which involves certain types of financial, legal, technical and reputational risks. A methodology for quantifying aggregate risk and a formula for analyzing investment feasibility based on the integration of key project parameters are proposed. Examples of using the methodology in conditions of limited funding and high uncertainty are given.

68–73 8
Abstract

The article addresses current issues of digital risk monitoring at thermal power plants. It examines aspects of applying business intelligence tools for managing production risks in the context of import substitution, with a focus on aggregating data from automated control systems for technological and business processes.

SOCIAL RISK

74–95 6
Abstract

In today's climate-affected world, there has been a significant increase in the frequency and intensity of floods. Such dangerous phenomena this leads to negative consequences and an increase in social damage.

The article presents the results of the analysis of scientific, methodological literature, standards, considers the terminology, existing methods and approaches to assessing the societal flood risk. Gaps in knowledge and the potential of multidisciplinary approaches to assessing the societal flood risk are identified.

Based on the analysis and synthesis of the research results, it is concluded that the forecast of the number of dead people in the flood scenarios of different probability becomes an important applied problem that can only be solved with the help of a multidisciplinary approach. A scientific problem is formulated and ways to solve it are indicated.



ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)