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Issues of Risk Analysis

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Vol 20, No 1 (2023)
View or download the full issue PDF (Russian)
https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2023-20-1

COLUMN EDITOR

HEALTH RISK

14-25 1226
Abstract

The article presents a retrospective analysis of the dynamics of air pollution in Norilsk with emissions from the largest metallurgical enterprise MMC Norilsk Nickel. In the city, for many years, elevated concentrations of sulfur dioxide, suspended particles, nickel, copper, benzo(a) pyrene and other substances have been recorded. Their impact has led to increased morbidity and mortality among the population of Norilsk. Estimated health risks from exposure to fine particulate matter (PM10) and sulfur dioxide are given. The excess mortality of Norilsk residents from exposure to sulfur dioxide decreased from 10% in 2007 to 0.8% in 2014—2019.

Dynamics of mortality in Norilsk for 2008—2019 compared with data on the urban population of the Krasnoyarsk Territory is ambiguous. The mortality of men from all causes, including cerebrovascular and circulatory system diseases, is lower than in other cities of the Krasnoyarsk Territory, but higher from respiratory diseases. Mortality among women in Norilsk is higher than in the urban population of the Krasnoyarsk Territory by 16.6%, incl. from diseases of the respiratory system — by 82.7%, from diseases of the circulatory system — by 6.5%. The higher mortality rate of the female population of Norilsk among other cities of the Krasnoyarsk Territory may indicate the detrimental effects of the impact of polluted atmospheric air on the female part of the population.

ENVIRONMENTAL RISK

26-35 505
Abstract

The aim of the present research is to educe the environmental aspects of sustainable development of the regional areas. At present the ecological factors determine largely the opportunities for the economic strength of the regional systems. The article presents the index calculation of the environmental sustainability of the regional system using the example of the Kirov Region. As a result of the research, it was defined that the development of the ecological situation in the region is inclined to be sustainable, and at the same time it is uptrending. The main factors that hamper the improvement in the development of the environmental sustainability of the regional system were educed, some solutions of the problems were offered.

СLIMATE RISK

36-47 274
Abstract

Drought, as an extreme climate event that occurs naturally and has a lack of precipitation as its source, is one of the main dangers affecting the province of Holguin.

The behavior of the population and decision-makers in the face of this phenomenon may contribute to increasing or decreasing the effectiveness of actions to reduce the risk of drought. To identify ways of action, a study was conducted on the perception of the danger of drought by residents living in risk areas of the province of Holguin.

The study was to establish the most objective perception of the phenomenon as a source of damage from a quantitative point of view, by levels (high, medium and low) through the use of conjugacy tables of simple and multiple correspondence analysis.

It has been noted that there is a difference in perceptions of drought hazards and factors affecting the behaviour and viability of the population and public institutions before, during and after the event.

The impact of drought risk perception on agricultural efficiency is shown.

EMERGENCY RISKS

48-63 334
Abstract

The final article of this series presents the results of a scientific study on the development of the main scientific components that make up the scientific and methodological apparatus that allows to justify rational equipment compositions, placement schemes, deployment technologies and technical and economic assessments of temporary accommodation points of the affected population.

INFORMATION SECURITY

64-77 490
Abstract

This article is devoted to the development of a classification of the risks of projects for the introduction and development of digital identification systems for citizens, based on foreign experience. When forming the sample, the following similar conditions to those in Russia were taken into account: the level of digital development; the level of digital literacy and income of the population; the presence of close cooperation in the economic sphere.

Studies on the topic are limited and fragmentary, devoted mainly to describing the risks of specific national systems, the risks are not systematized, and there is no list of the most significant risks to the digital identification system of citizens of the Russian Federation.

Research methodology and description of the sample: critical analysis.

The faceted classification method was used to develop the classification; the assessment of the most likely risks on the way of the system formation in Russia is based on the data of the metaanalysis of studies of the level of digital development and literacy of citizens.

It was found that the risks are of a complex composite nature; the degree of citizens’ resistance to digital identification systems does not depend on the general level of digital literacy of the population, but the most negatively inclined citizens are among people with high digital literacy or IT specialists; for the project being implemented in Russia, it is most important to ensure the security of citizens’ personal data and the possibility for citizens to control their digital doubles, training in using Internet technologies, legal, ethical and technological aspects.

RISK MANAGEMENT

78-86 941
Abstract

The article presents the rationale for the development of a set of measures that contribute to the improvement of the risk management procedure during the input control of raw materials and materials entering the pharmaceutical enterprise. The main methods and features of risk management during the input control of raw materials and materials entering the pharmaceutical enterprise are considered. The results of the risk analysis at the entrance control at the pharmaceutical enterprise are presented, the ranking of the identified risks according to the degree and probability of occurrence is carried out. Recommendations are formulated to improve the risk management process during the input control of raw materials used in the production of medicines.

INFORMATION WINDOW



ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)