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Issues of Risk Analysis

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Vol 14, No 6 (2017)
View or download the full issue PDF (Russian)
https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2017-14-6

COLUMN EDITOR

RISKS OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY

6-21 680
Abstract

The article examines the possible risks of the oncoming digital revolution.

22-29 5339
Abstract

In article main types of risks which the Russian economy should face in the conditions of transition to a digital format are considered. In article possible activities the negative consequences of manifestation of risks of digital economy allowing to lower the negative consequences. According to the author the state needs to predict and to react in due time to the formed tendencies ofsocial and ethical character connected with formation of national global digital space.

 

30-43 436
Abstract

The situation of management of the state and economics, the situation and prospects of the digital economics, objects of digital management of the state and economics are considered: ministries, socioeconomic systems; the safe space of mankind. As a management criterion, the safety of the system is chosen, it is determined by the concepts of risk and “acceptable safety”.

For the digital management of the state and economics, new types of events-propositions and new types of logic and probabilistic (LP) risk models are introduced, methods for LP-analysis of system risk, LP –management of systems risk, and assessment of LPquality of management systems are presented.

For digital management of the state and the economy, special software packages, an additional education course for managers, economists and teachers, and the computer network for monitoring and management in almost “real” time are described.

RISK MANAGEMENT

44-48 458
Abstract

The political and economic events occurring in the world at 2014 — beginning of 2015 showed how important the question of ensuring financial safety of the state is. Not only stability of economic development of the country, but also its sovereignty, and also territorial integrity depend on success of implementation of this task. Financial control, now, is one of basic elements of system of ensuring financial safety of the country. To more detailed consideration in this work audit financial control as a factor of ensuring financial safety of theRussian Federationis offered.

STATISTICAL RISK ASSESSMENT METHODS

50-71 486
Abstract

The paper discusses the main aspects of the asymptotic theory of probabilities of extreme events, allowing for quantitative risk assessments to solve important practical tasks: 1) to reasonably predict the asymptotic behavior of the "tails" of the distributions on the basis of statistical processing of existing data; 2) calculate the expected value of a threshold value of losses (predict the value of "expect the unexpected" losses). In addition, the work demonstrates the effective use of graphic statistical analysis technology based on the use of intervals of equal probability instead of classic intervals of equal length during the statistical testing of hypotheses and selection of the distribution laws.

DISCUSSION CLUB

72-82 463
Abstract

Examining the conception and technologies of models of the systems elaborated by author and demonstrating their applications at examples of enterprises, at their system of production and system of control and also the risks of these systems and possibility of theirs controls. Expounded conception and technologies have vast correlation with the system’s themes at the modern literature and are able utilized at investigations, projections, and administrations and at universities.

84-87 381
Abstract

This article discusses the status of normative-methodical base of physical security. It is noted that the methods of categorization, analysis of threats and vulnerabilities differ in the vagueness of the terminology and there is no single terminological approach. Stated that the threat analysis is often not considered is the relationship of vulnerabilities and model intruder. It is still not compiled the databank of security threats and actual vulnerabilities.

88-92 396
Abstract

For effectively addressing the urgent problem of purifying water from radionuclides, suggested the use of compact, mobile, quick pressure vertical filter, which provides two-tier cleaning contaminated water through porous cylindrical filtering elements and load bulk sorbent-graphene oxide flakes.

АННОТАЦИИ СТАТЕЙ НА АНГЛИЙСКОМ ЯЗЫКЕ



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ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)