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Risk Analysis Practice for Reliability of Supply of Natural Gas with Valuable Components to Gas Processing and Gas Chemical Complexes. Part 2. Ethane-Containing Gas Supply

Abstract

The article presents the results of research on ensuring the reliability of ethane-containing gas supplies to gas processing and gas chemical complexes over the years, taking into account uncertainty in gas production volumes and the content of valuable components in it from various sections of gas condensate fields in the Nadym-Pur-Taz region of Western Siberia.

About the Authors

I. V. Demkin
Gazprom VNIIGAZ
Russian Federation

Igor V. Demkin

Gazovikov str., 15/1, Razvilka, Moscow reg., 142717



S. A. Kovalev
Gazprom VNIIGAZ
Russian Federation

Sergey A. Kovalev

Gazovikov str., 15/1, Razvilka, Moscow reg., 142717



A. A. Mitchenko
Gazprom VNIIGAZ
Russian Federation

Anton A. Mitchenko

Gazovikov str., 15/1, Razvilka, Moscow reg., 142717



A. V. Shevchenko
Military Engineering Academy
Russian Federation

Andrey V. Shevchenko

Karbyshev str., 2, Nakhabino, Moscow Region, Krasnogorsk     District, 143432



I. M. Nikonov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Igor M. Nikonov

Leninsky Gory, 1, Moscow, 119991



References

1. Demkin I. V., Kovalev S. A., Mitchenko A. A., Shevchenko A. V., Nikonov I. M. Risk analysis practice for reliability of supply of natural gas with valuable components to gas processing and gas chemical complexes. Part 1. Stochastic modeling // Issues of Risk Analysis. 2024;21(4):49–67. (In Russ.)

2. Project management body of knowledge, PMBoK, 7th Edition, PMI, 2021, Project Cost Management section

3. Akimov V. A. Introduction to the statistics of extreme values and its applications/V.A. Akimov, A. A. Bykov, E. Yu. Shchetinin/M.: VNII GOChS (FC) 2009. 536 с. ISBN 978-5-93970-037-5. EDN NCHAAR. (In Russ.)

4. R Gazprom 183–2021 Corporate Risk Management System. Gas and gas condensate production. Operational risks. Identification and evaluation. (In Russ.)

5. R Gazprom 191–2021 «Corporate Risk Management System. Replenishment of the mineral resource base. Operational risks. Identification and evaluation». (In Russ.)

6. Guidelines for assessing the effectiveness of investment projects (second edition, revised and supplemented), approved by Ministry of Economy of the Russian Federation, Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation and Gosstroy of the Russian Federation dated 21.06.1999, No. VK 477. (In Russ.)


Review

For citations:


Demkin I.V., Kovalev S.A., Mitchenko A.A., Shevchenko A.V., Nikonov I.M. Risk Analysis Practice for Reliability of Supply of Natural Gas with Valuable Components to Gas Processing and Gas Chemical Complexes. Part 2. Ethane-Containing Gas Supply. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2024;21(5):36-49. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)