

Strategy for the Development of the Tourism Industry in the Russian Federation: the Risks of Goal Setting
Abstract
The article considers the problems and risks arising in the goal-setting processes during the state strategic planning of the tourism industry development in the Russian Federation. It has been established that the goals set in the Tourism Development Strategy until 2035 correspond to the tasks of the state in the field of health protection, ensuring the right to rest, freedom of movement and access to cultural values, and the requirements of a balance of supply and demand. At the same time, the imperfection of the strategic planning methodology can lead to a number of risks. The risk of not achieving individual goals is associated with the declarative nature of their formulations, the lack of supporting targets.
A broad statement of goals in the absence of their decomposition and an adequate set of targets carries risks of uncertainty, reducing the attention of strategic planning participants to the development of certain types of tourism, which differ in more social than economic effects. Due to the lack of a well-developed mechanism for government programs to perceive the goals set in the strategies, there are risks of ignoring individual strategic goals and changing priorities when developing program documents.
To solve the identified problems, a number of proposals have been made for the methodological modification of the main goal–setting processes - the formulation of goals and their translation into programming documents.
About the Authors
R. N. ShpakovaRussian Federation
Raisa N. Shpakova
Researcher ID: B-1631-2018, Scopus Author ID: 57203455617
Vernadsky Avenue, 76, Moscow, 119454
D. I. Gorodetsky
Russian Federation
Dmitry I. Gorodetsky
Vernadsky Avenue, 76, Moscow, 119454
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Review
For citations:
Shpakova R.N., Gorodetsky D.I. Strategy for the Development of the Tourism Industry in the Russian Federation: the Risks of Goal Setting. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2024;21(4):37-48. (In Russ.)