Problems of Analyzing the Risk of Environmental Management in the Global Aspect on a Geopolitical Basis

The article considers the main modern global geopolitical problems, among which we include hazardous natural processes, natural disasters, emergencies and the resulting risk of environmental management. Natural disasters and natural catastrophes cause today colossal material and moral damage practically in all countries of the world and their regions, in geopolitical associations, as well as on the scale of the whole planet. The reasons for this are both natural and anthropogenic factors. The former include dramatic changes in the Earth’s natural environment and climate, melting of sea, cover and mountain-valley glaciers, rising sea levels and flooding of coastal lands, melting of permafrost soils and the revival of pathogenic microorganisms, etc. The second includes population growth, primarily urban population growth, environmental pollution, hunger and poverty, localized wars, terrorism, etc. In the current geopolitical situation, risk of environmental management is considered in the article from the perspective of management theory as a risk associated with the loss of natural assets and services by states. It affects business and economy, economic activity, people, society and social institutions, which creates already economic, market and socio-political risks. The loss of natural resource potential entails the emergence of systemic geopolitical risk, since natural resources and services such as clean air, abundant fresh water, fertile soils, stable climate, represent vital public goods on which the functioning of society depends. In the conditions of global natural disasters, high efficiency of risk of environmental management can be ensured only on the basis of a special system to support the processes of self-organization and anticollapse self-tuning integration of segments of geoinformation systems and intelligent services adaptable to conditions of known, predictable and unknown nature.

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