Perceptions of the risk of severe drought by residents in risk areas in the province of Holguín (Republic of Cuba)
https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2023-20-1-36-47
Abstract
Drought, as an extreme climate event that occurs naturally and has a lack of precipitation as its source, is one of the main dangers affecting the province of Holguin.
The behavior of the population and decision-makers in the face of this phenomenon may contribute to increasing or decreasing the effectiveness of actions to reduce the risk of drought. To identify ways of action, a study was conducted on the perception of the danger of drought by residents living in risk areas of the province of Holguin.
The study was to establish the most objective perception of the phenomenon as a source of damage from a quantitative point of view, by levels (high, medium and low) through the use of conjugacy tables of simple and multiple correspondence analysis.
It has been noted that there is a difference in perceptions of drought hazards and factors affecting the behaviour and viability of the population and public institutions before, during and after the event.
The impact of drought risk perception on agricultural efficiency is shown.
About the Authors
R. P. ReyesRussian Federation
Rolbert P. Reyes
Miklukho-Maklaya str., 6, Moscow, 117198
Holguín, Cuba, SP 80400
V. V. Lesnykh
Russian Federation
Valery V. Lesnykh
Miklukho-Maklaya str., 6, Moscow, 117198
References
1. De las Cuevas J. “500 years of construction in Cuba”. Chavin Graphic and Editorial Services, S.I., 2021. Madrid.
2. Environment Agency. Methodologies for determining disaster risks at the territorial level. 2013 Havana Cuba. ISBN 978-959-300-033-8. https://www.cu.undp.org/content/cuba/es/home/library/crisis_prevention_and_recovery/LibroAMA_I.html
3. Fonseca Rivera K., Hernandez Gonzalez D., Alpizar Tirso M., Gonzalez Garcia I., Gil Reyes L., Coutier Cancino V., Martinez Alvarez V., Barcia Sardinas S., Vasquez Montenegro R., Hernandez Gonzalez M., Velasquez Saldivar B., Perez Suarez R., Valdera Figueredo N. (2021). The state of the climate in Cuba in 2019. Extended summary. Cuban Meteorological Journal, Volume 26, ISSN: 2664-0880, http://rcm.insmet.cu/index.php/rcm/article/view/534
4. Godfoy Nunez, E., Cristia Lara, S. The danger of drought: risk perception and educational actions to increase the resilience of the Cuban population. Agrisost, Volume 27, No. 3, September-December 2021, ISSN-e:1025-0247.
5. Jimenez Denis O., Gonzalez Mirabal D. Disaster risk perception training in basic secondary school in Cuba. University and Society Journal, 13(3), 401-408. Epub, June 2, 2021 Received April 1, 2022 from http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2218-36202021000300401&lng=es&tlng=es
6. Lloyd’s Register Foundation (2020a). Most people around the world are concerned about climate change. Lloyd's Register Foundation Global Risk Survey. 2020. https://wrp.lrfoundation.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/WRPPress-releases-Climate-change-061020-distribution-copy-2.pdf
7. Lloyd’s Register Foundation (2020b). Thirty-four percent of people around the world fear serious harm from severe weather. Lloyd's Register Foundation Global Risk Survey. 2020. https://wrp.lrfoundation.org.uk/2021-reporta-changed-world-perceptions-and-experiences-of-riskin-the-covid-age/severe-weather-and-how-people-feelabout-climate-change/
8. Mikulic Isabel Maria., Cassullo, Gabriela Livia., Crespi, Melina., Elmasian, Mariana., Caruso, Agostina Paola. Cross-cultural comparison of risk perception in various social and cultural groups: the contribution of psychological assessment to environmental psychology. Research Yearbook, XVIII. 2011, 409—417.[Consultation date April 1, 2022]. ISSN: 0329-5885. Available in: https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=369139947044
9. Ministry of Science, Technology and Environment. Third national communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 2020. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/Third%20National%20Communication.%20Cuba.pdf
10. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. (November 30, 2021). The active Atlantic hurricane season of 2021 officially ends. 2021. https://www.noaa.gov/newsrelease/active-2021-atlantic-hurricane-season-officiallyends
11. National Institute of Hydro Resources. "Statistical estimates of water in Cuba, 2020" 2021. https://www.hidro.gob.cu/es/noticias/estimaciones-estadisticas-del-agua-encuba-2020-i
12. Perera M. Social representations in groups of social structure. Research report of the Center for Psychological and Sociological Research of CIPS Cuba. 1998.
13. Reyes Pupo R., Merayo Rodriguez A., Romero Perez E. Study of the danger, vulnerability and risk of severe drought in the province of Holguin. 2014. Territorial Representation of the Ministry of Science, Technology and Environment, Holguin, Cuba.
14. Roura-Perez P., Diaz-Sistax D. Methodology of maximum wind and probability of hurricane impact in Cuba. Cuban Meteorological Journal, Volume 26, No. 4, October-December 2020, ISSN: 2664-0880.
15. Santella Artola A., Lapinel Pedroso B., Solano Ojeda O., Vasquez Montenegro R., Fonseca Rivera K., Coutier Cancino V., Baez Altamirano R., Gonzalez Espiritusantos S., Cille Puello J., Rosario Santana P., Duarte Garcia L. Meteorological and agricultural drought in the Republic of Cuba and the Dominican Republic. United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) in Cuba. 2007.
16. Torres Hughes R. Hydraulic works and teaching of this specialty in Cuban time and space. Hydraulic Research Center, Havana Jose Antonio Echeverria University of Technology (USA), Havana. Hydraulic and environmental engineering. Vol. XXXVIII, No. 1, January-April 2017, pp. 101—112.
17. UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. Report on the global assessment of disaster risk reduction. 2022. Our World is in Danger: Transforming Governance for a Sustainable Future. Geneva.
18. UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. Regional Disaster Risk Assessment Report for Latin America and the Caribbean (RAR 2021) 2021. https://www.undrr.org/en/publication/undrr-roamc-regional-assessment-report-on-therisk-of-disasters-in-america
19. World Meteorological Organization. The state of the climate in Latin America and the Caribbean, 2020, 2021. https://library.wmo.int/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=21926#.Y-jNUS_P1Pa
Review
For citations:
Reyes R.P., Lesnykh V.V. Perceptions of the risk of severe drought by residents in risk areas in the province of Holguín (Republic of Cuba). Issues of Risk Analysis. 2023;20(1):36-47. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2023-20-1-36-47