Preview

Issues of Risk Analysis

Advanced search

New problems of eventreleted digital management of economics and state

https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2020-17-2-22-39

Abstract

We introduced new structurally complex objects of management in economics and State. We proposed new problems with logical-probabilistic (LP) risk models for managing different types of systems: socio-economic, with risk models based on statistical data, with a large number of indicators and logical combination of several systems.

The following problems are considered in detail: managing the development of systems, assessing the quality of management systems, managing a safe living space, taking into account the effect of repeated events on the accuracy of assessing the safety and quality of a system, planning development programs for complex systems with different subsystem outcomes.

Calculations on LP-model of State set, what reforms are needed in economics. The role of the digital economics in the active inclusion of the personnel of state institutions, enterprises, companies and every person in managing of State and economics is shown.

About the Author

E. D. Solozhentsev
St. Petersburg University of Aerospace Instrumentation, Institute of Business Technologies
Russian Federation

Evgeny D. Solozhentsev

199178, St. Petersburg, V. O., Grand avenue, 61



References

1. Gorodetsky A.E. Public administration and economic security. On the dysfunctions of public administration // Audit and financial analysis. 2016. No. 6. P. 426—436 (Russia).

2. Smotritskaya I. I. State administration in conditions of development digital economy: strategic challenges and risks // ETAP: Economic Theory, Analysis, Practice. 2018. No. 4. P. 60—72 (Russia). DOI: 10.24411/2071-6435-2018-10037

3. Solozhentsev Е.D. Digital тоp-economics: new principles, objects, knowledge and tasks. Modeling and Analysis of safety and risk in complex systems / Proceedings of the fifteenth international conference MASR-2019 (St. Petersburg, Russia). St. Petersburg : SUAI. Р. 9—16 (Russia).

4. Solozhentsev Е.D. The Basics of Event-Related Management of Safety and Quality in Economics // Environment. technology. resources. Proceedings of 12 th Intern. Scientific and Practical Conferece on 20—23. 2019. Vol. 1. Rezekne Academy of Technologies, 2019. P. 146—153.

5. Solozhentsev E. D. Ephemeral and digital management of safety and quality in economics // Issues of Risk Analysis. Vol. 15. 2018. № 5. P. 76—95 (Russia). https://doi.org/10.32686/18125220-2018-15-5-76-95

6. Solozhentsev E. D. About the digital management of the state and economics // Issues of Risk Analysis. Vol. 14. 2017. № 6. P. 30—43. (Russia). https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2017-14-6-30-43

7. Solozhentsev E. D. Digital event -related man- P. 71—81 (Russia). Doi: 10.34706/DE-2019-01-07

8. Solozhentsev E. D. Development of digital top-economics // Digital Economy. 2019 (Russia). http://digital-economy.ru/stati/1razvitietsifrovoj-top-ekonomiki

9. Raworth Kate. Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st — Century Economist. Publisher: Cornerstone. Category: Economic theory & philosophy. 2017. 284 p.

10. Ryabinin I. A. (2007). Reliability and safety of structurally complex systems. 2nd ed. SPb.: Publishing House of St. Petersburg University. 276 p. (Russia).

11. Solozhentsev Е. D. Тop economics. Management of economic Safety. St. Petersburg.: SUAI, 250 p. (Russia).

12. Solozhentsev E.D. The Management of Socioeconomic Safety. Сambridge Scholars Publishing, 2017. 255 p.

13. Solozhentsev E. D., Alexeev V. V., Karasev V. V. Monitoring and crediting process management with use of logical and probabilistic risk model // Issues of Risk Analysis. Vol. 10. 2013. № 6. P. 78—87 (Russia).

14. Alekseev V. V., Solojentsev E. D. Logical and probabilistic modeling of security portfolio risks // Information and Control Systems 2007. № 6 (31). P. 49—56 (Russia).

15. Solozhentsev E. D. Logic and probabilistic risk models for management of innovations system of country / E. D. Solozhentsev // Int. J. of Risk Assessment and Management. Vol. 18. Nos. ¾. 2015. P. 237—255.

16. Solozhentsev E. D., Karasev V. V. I3-Technologies for Counteraction to Bribes and Corruption // Issues of Risk Analysis. Vol. 7. 2010. №2. P. 54—65 (Russia).

17. Solozhentsev E. D., Mityagin S. A. Logical and probabilistic risk models for assessment and analysis of the drug addiction problem in the region // Issues of Risk Analysis. Vol. 11. 2014. № 1. P. 20—39 (Russia).

18. Karasev V. V., Solozhentsev E. D. Hybrid logical and probabilistic models for management of socio-economic safety. Int. J. of Risk Assessment and Management, Vol. 21, Nos. 1/2. 2018. P. 89—110.

19. Solozhentsev E. D. Risk Management Technologies with Logic and Probabilistic Models. Dordrecht, Heidelberg, New York, London: Springer. 2012. 328 p.

20. Robbins S.P., Coulter M. Management. 6th ed. Translated from English. Moscow: Publishing House “Williams”, 2002. 880 p.

21. Mozhaev A.S. Annotation of the ARBITR software (PC ASM SZMA) / Scientific and technical collection “Questions of atomic science and technology. Series "Physics of Nuclear Reactors". M.: RRC “Kurchatov Institute”. Vol. 2. Р. 105116 (Russia).

22. Alexeev V. V., Karaseva E. I. Synthesis and analysis of probabilities of events by non-numeric, inaccurate and incomplete expert information // Issues of Risk Analysis. Vol. 11. 2014. № 3. P. 22—31 (Russia).

23. Hovanov N., Yadaeva M., Hovanov K. Multicriteria Estimation of Probabilities on the Basis of Expert Non-numerical, Inexact and Incomplete Knowledge / European Journal of Operational Research. Vol. 195. № 3. 2007. P. 857—863.

24. EXPA. Certificate of state registration of computer programs, No 2018612197. Expert Systems Expa/. Date of issue: February 13. 2018. Authors: Solozhentsev E., Alekseev V., Karaseva E. (Russia).

25. Моzhaev А. S.. ARBITER. The software complex for automatized structural logical modeling and calculation of reliability and safety of ACS at the design stage, basic version 1.0 / Rights owner: ОАО "SPIK SZMA". Registration Certificate № 2003611101 оf 12 May 2003. Rospatent of the Russian Federation, Мoscow.

26. Каraseva Е. I. Technologies of risk management. Manual for laboratory works. St. Petersburg, SUAI. 2016. 83 р. (Russia).


Review

For citations:


Solozhentsev E.D. New problems of eventreleted digital management of economics and state. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2020;17(2):22-39. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2020-17-2-22-39

Views: 554


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)