Systemic Evaluation of the Threats to the Strategy of Technological Development of Russia
https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2019-16-6-26-37
Abstract
The article is devoted to the study of factors that inhibit the creation of knowledge and technologies, as well as usage and diffusion in the Russian economy and that pose the threats to the technological development of the country. The study is based on the system economic theory methodology, which involve system analysis methods studying the economy and society as an integrated socio-economic system in its unity and mutual dependence of key subsystems. This approach is aimed to receive evaluation reflecting the real static and dynamic picture of all sectors that contribute to the creation of innovation: production, monetary systems, institutional environment, science, education and society. The risk zones are depicted in the diagram of the strategic planning and governance inherent Russian practice. From a systemic point of view, the conclusions are that the objective system evaluation should be in the basis of the strategy. Inadequate quality of planning, ignoring system linkages and interactions in decision-making, use of incorrect data as well as other defective governance actions pose a significant threat to the development of the Russian Federation. The directions for further research in order to reduce the risks of technological development strategy are proposed in the paper. The proposals concern improvement in both evaluation methods and the metrics of the socio-economic system characteristics, which can give the truth picture of the system, and the concept of strategizing changes in non-stationary economy.
The author declare no conflict of interest.
About the Author
A. A. Nikonova
Central Economics and Mathematics Institute RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Alla A. Nikonova
117418, Moscow, Nahimovsky pr., b. 47
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For citations:
Nikonova A.A. Systemic Evaluation of the Threats to the Strategy of Technological Development of Russia. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2019;16(6):26-37. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2019-16-6-26-37
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