Method of integral analytical estimation of the natural and anthropogenic territory safety (in case of Krasnoyarsk region)
https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2018-15-5-16-25
Abstract
This paper presents a method of integral analytical estimation of the natural and anthropogenic safety of the territories which provides the formation of a complex indicator based on multidimensional analytical modelling of the state of environment and technosphere objects. The basic principles of creation of a geographically-oriented safety standard and algorithm of calculating an integral assessment of natural and anthropogenic safety of the territories are proposed here. The practical result of the work is an implementation of suggested method for estimation of the natural and anthropogenic safety of the Krasnoyarsk territory.
About the Authors
T. G. Penkova
Institute of Computational Modelling of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ICM SB RAS).
Russian Federation
Krasnoyarsk.
Russian Federation
Krasnoyarsk.
A. M. Metus
Institute of Computational Modelling of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ICM SB RAS).
Russian Federation
Krasnoyarsk.
Russian Federation
Krasnoyarsk.
V. V. Nicheporchuk
Institute of Computational Modelling of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ICM SB RAS).
Russian Federation
Krasnoyarsk.
Russian Federation
Krasnoyarsk.
References
1. Beroggi G. E., Wallace W. A. Operational Risk Management The Integration of Decision, Communications, and Multimedia Technologies, Springer US, 2012. 207 p.
2. Haddow G.D., Bullock J.A., Coppola D.P. Introduction to emergency management. Amsterdam: Butterworth-Heine- mann, 2011. 518 p.
3. Махутов Н. А. Безопасность и риски: системные ис- следования и разработки. Новосибирск: Наука, 2017. 724 с. [Makhutov N. A. Safety and risks: system researches and developments. Novosibirsk: Nauka, 2017. 724 p.]
4. Management of risks of technological disasters and natural hazards: Textbook for managers. Moscow: FGBU VNII GOCHS(FC), 2016. 270 p.
5. Osipov V. I., Larionov V. I., Burova V. N., Frolova N. I., Sushchev S. P. Methodology of Natural risk assessment in Russia. Natural hazards. 2017. No. 8. Vol. 88. Р. 17—41.
6. Yamalov I. U. Modeling of management and decision- making processes in emergency situations. Moscow: Laboratoriya Basovikh Znaniy, 2010. 288 p.
7. Moskvichev V. V., Bychkov I.V., Potapov V.P., Taseiko O.V., Shokin Yu. I. Information system for territorial risk and safety management development. Vestnik RAN, 2017. No. 8 (87). Р. 696—705.
8. Penkova Т., Nicheporchuk V., Metus A. Comprehensive operational control of the natural and anthropogenic territory safety based on analytical indicators // LNAI Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence. 2017. Part I. Vol. 10313. Р. 263—270.
9. Faleyev M.I., Malyshev V.P., Makiev Yu.D. and etc. Early warning about emergency situations. Moscow: FGBU VNII GOCHS(FC), 2015. 232 p.
10. Metus A.M. Actual tasks of comprehensive estimation of natural and technogenic territory safety. Molodoj uchenyj, 2015. No. 11. Р. 89—92.
11. Penkova T.G., Metus A.M. Conceptual model of integral analytical estimation of natural and technogenic territory safety. Informatizaciya i svyaz', 2016. No. 2. Р. 65—71.
12. The national report about an emergency protection of the population and territory of the Krasnoyarsk region. Krasnoyarsk: Glavnoe upravlenie MCHS Rossii po Krasnoyarskomu krayu, 2018. 248 p.
13. Penkova Т. Analysis of Natural and Technogenic Safety of the Krasnoyarsk Region Based on Data Mining Techni- ques // Lecture Notes in Computer Science: Advances in Conceptual Modeling. 2016. Vol. 9975. P. 102—112.
14. Nicheporchuk V. V., Penkova T. G. The system of analytical indicators for a long-term control of natural and technogenic territory safety), Problemy analiza riska, 2018. No.11(15). Р. 70—77.
15. Nicheporchuk V.V., Penkova T.G. and Metus A.M. Developing of the natural and technogenic safety standard of the Krasnoyarsk region. Problemy bezopasnosti i chrezvychajnyh situacij, 2018. No. 2. Р. 41—52.
16. Penkova T. Method of Wellbeing Estimation in Territory Management // Book Series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science. 2014. Part IV. Vol. 8582. Р. 57—68.
Review
For citations:
Penkova T.G., Metus A.M., Nicheporchuk V.V. Method of integral analytical estimation of the natural and anthropogenic territory safety (in case of Krasnoyarsk region). Issues of Risk Analysis. 2018;15(5):16-25. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2018-15-5-16-25
Views:
595
Email this article 