Preview

Issues of Risk Analysis

Advanced search
Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription or Fee Access

The Use of Digital Currencies in Cross-Border Settlements: Risks and Prospects

EDN: WDYMNA

Abstract

The purpose of the work is to identify current risks and prospects for the use of decentralized (cryptocurrencies and stablecoins) and centralized national digital currencies (CBDC) in the system of interstate cross-border transfers. The study is based on data from reports and experiments of leading international financial organizations – the World Bank, the Bank for International Settlements, and the International Monetary Fund. The analysis of the accumulated experience of cross-border transfers in the world practice has made it possible to identify currently popular transfer channels, assess their volume, ratio and dynamics, as well as identify trends in the foreseeable future. The use of blockchain and digital currencies in the system of cross-border transfers is studied by the authors in decentralized and centralized segments, which makes it possible to specify the motivation, problems and prospects of using innovative financial instruments in interstate relations.

In addition to the prospects and effects of the introduction of digital currencies in cross-border transfers, the study highlights the possible risks associated with this process, in particular, the risks of destabilization of the financial system, «digital dollarization» and the potential weakening of the monetary sovereignty of emerging market countries, within the framework of multicurrency agreements on central securities. The study focuses on the sanctions realities relevant to the Russian economy, and examines the potential for using multicurrency national digital currencies and digital financial assets in trade and economic relations within the EAEU and BRICS.

About the Authors

E. V. Karanina
Vyatka State University
Russian Federation

Elena V. Karanina

Moskovskaya str., 36, Kirov, 610000



D. I. Skopin
Vyatka State University
Russian Federation

Dmitriy I. Skopin

Moskovskaya str., 36, Kirov, 610000



References

1. Koroleva L.P., Astakhov D. S., Guchmazov A.I. Problems and prospects of cross-border money transfers in Russia under the sanctions // Bulletin of the Academy of Knowledge. 2024;(3):607–611. (In Russ.) – EDN: YEHLRS

2. Sanjeev C., Gancz A., Lucas J.M. Beyond Borders: capturing growth in the dynamic cross-border payments market. Ernst & Young. 2024. 22 p. / URL: https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-gl/industries/wealthasset-management/documents/ey-gl-banking-beyondborders 10–2024.pdf (accessed: 05.08.2025)

3. Ingham L., Lawal A., Allen C. How big is the cross-border payments market? 2032’s $62tn TAM. June 19th, 2025. FXC Intelligence. https://www.fxcintel.com/research/reports/how-big-is-the-b2b-cross-border-payments-market (accessed: 05.08.2025)

4. Chandra, Vandana; Kim, Eung Ju; Plaza, Sonia; Ratha, Dilip; Riordan, Elliott J; Shaw, William. Remittances Brave Global Headwinds: Special Focus – Climate Migration (English). Migration and development brief; KNOMAD Trust Fund Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099818008142419054

5. Chandra, Vandana; Kim, Eung Ju; Mahmood, Akhtar; Plaza, Sonia; Ratha, Dilip. Remittances Slowed in 2023, Expected to Grow Faster in 2024 (English). Migration and development brief; KNOMAD Trust Fund Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099714008132436612

6. Ingham L. P2P payments help PayPal deliver aboveexpectations Q42024. February 5th, 2025. FXCIntelligence. https://www.fxcintel.com/research/analysis/paypal-q4-24-earnings. (accessed: 10.08.2025)

7. Eugenio M Cerutti, Melih Firat, and Martina Hengge. «Global Cross-Border Payments: A $1 Quadrillion Evolving Market?», IMF Working Papers 2025, 120 (2025), accessed 10.06.2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229013505.001

8. Ivanov V. V., Zakharchenko S. I. International digital currency market in foreign economic activity // Russian Journal of Innovation Economics. 2023;13(4):1909–1926. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18334/vinec.13.4.120108

9. Lavrova L.A., Zhigas M.G., Kuzmina S.N. Cryptocurrency as a possible alternative to the de-dollarization of the global monetary system // Bulletin of Baikal State University. 2023;33(2):245–256. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17150/2500–2759.2023.33(2).245–256]

10. Andryushin S.A. Digital currency of the central bank as the third form of money of the state // Actual Problems of Economics and Law. 2021;15(1):54–76. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21202/1993-047X.15.2021.1.54-76

11. Kapustin N.A., Pichkov O.B. Cross-border application of central bank digital currencies: opportunities for Russia // Journal of Economics, Entrepreneurship and Law. 2024;14(2):569–590. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18334/epp.14.2.120562

12. GaliA.I. Prospects for the use of digital currencies of central banks in cross-border payments in the EAEU countries // The Review of Economy, the Law and Sociology. 2024;(3):289–292. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.24412/1998-5533-2024-3-289-292

13. Semeko G.V. Integration of the payment space of the Eurasian economic union: the potential of sovereign digital currencies // Russia and the World in the 21st Century. 2023;(3):42–57. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.31249/rsm/2023.03.03

14. Kochergin D.A., Andryushin S.A. Prospects for international settlements in central bank digital currencies on a platform basis in foreign countries and Russia // Vestnik Instituta Ekonomiki Rossiyskoy Akademii Nauk. 2024;(6):156–185. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2024_6_156_185

15. Skopin D.I., Karanina E.V. Digital currencies as a tool of modern financial markets // Vestnik of Volga State University of Technology. Series: Economy and Management. 2023;(3):27–35. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.25686/2306-2800.2023.3.27

16. Kochergin D.A., Andryushin S.A. Economic content and potential of convergence // St Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies. 2023;39(4):496–533. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu05.2023.403

17. Skopin D.I. Formation of a system of digital currency market development indicators // Economics and Management: Problems, Solutions. 2025;8(8):175–188. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.36871/ek.up.p.r.2025.08.08.019

18. Karanina E. V., Skopin D.I. Effects and risks of subjects of digital financial markets: experience in managing digital risks // Issues of Risk Analysis. 2024;21(3):50–59. (In Russ.). – EDN: NORJOF

19. Auer R., Lewrick U., Paulick J. DeFiying gravity? An empirical analysis of cross-border Bitcoin, Ether and stablecoin flows // BIS Working Papers. 2025; (1265). 38 p. https://www.bis.org/publ/work1265.pdf

20. Nesterov I.О. Central bank digital currencies: an innovative tool for enhancing domestic and cross-border payments and settlements // St Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies. 2023;39(1):33–54. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu05.2023.102

21. Kochergin D. А. Central banks digital currencies for cross-border payments: interoperability models and implementation possibilities // Finance: Theory and Practice. 2024;28(2):82–100. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2024-28-2-82-100

22. Auer A., Haene P., Holden H. Multi-CBDC arrangements and the future of cross-border payments // BIS Papers. 2021;(115):17 URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap115.pdf

23. Chu Y., Rathbun N. S. Monetary Sovereignty and Central Bank Digital Currencies: Competing Models for Future Cross-Border Payment Platforms // Global Policy. 2025;16(2): 329–340. https://doi.org/10.1111/1758–5899.13495

24. Maslov A.V., Shvandar K.V. New International Projects on the Use of Central Bank Digital Currencies in Transforming Cross-border Settlements // Financial Journal. 2023;15(2):47– 58 (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.31107/2075-1990-2023-2-47-58

25. Novskaia N. S. Digital financial assets as a means of payment in the framework of foreign economic activity // Progressive Economy. 2025;(1):210–220. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.54861/27131211_2025_1_210


Review

For citations:


Karanina E.V., Skopin D.I. The Use of Digital Currencies in Cross-Border Settlements: Risks and Prospects. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2025;22(6):56-70. (In Russ.) EDN: WDYMNA

Views: 18


ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)