Crisis Genesis of Global Risks: Growth Factors and Directions of Anti-Crisis Policy

   Objectives. The problem of escalation of global risks and increase of their crisis level is considered.

   The aim of the work is to analyze crisis factors and develop proposals on directions of anti-crisis policy.

   Methods. The totality of global risks is considered in accordance with the postulates of the general theory of risk, as a controlled and constantly acting attribute of human life. Using the formallogical method, the directions of anti-crisis activities have been developed.

   Results. The authors show that the peculiarity of the development of modern global risks is the growth of their crisis potential. The main growth factor is the increase in general international conflict, characterized as global, geographically expanding, uncompromising, difficult to resolve and having an intercivilizational and geopolitical basis. The regional specificity of the manifestation of crisis potential is that inevitable and general risks do not generate general and equally deep crises, bringing growing damage to some countries and unions, and the best opportunities to others. The authors found that the materialization of crisis potential in real destructive crises largely depends on the strength or weakness of national and union economies. The main directions of anti-crisis policy in individual countries and unions are increasing the ability to withstand sanctions restraint of their own development and the level of provision with financial and human capital, as well as strengthening control over the flows of material and intangible resources.

   Conclusion. An important prerequisite for reducing the crisis potential and successfully managing crises is belonging to a union comparable in potential to opposing blocs of countries, the ability to minimize the restraining influence of opponents and build a union system of a limited quasi-global economy with well-established flows of goods and money, a balance of supply and demand, and a system of mutual complementarity and reinforcement (synergy).

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