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Forecast of Science and Technology Development: an Approach to Quality Assessment

Abstract

An approach to assessing the quality of scientific and technological forecasts for the development of science and technology in the field of ensuring national defense and state security is proposed. Using this approach in developing appropriate methods and techniques will allow making informed decisions in this area.

About the Authors

R. A. Durnev
Russian Academy of Missile and Artillery Sciences
Russian Federation

 Roman A. Durnev 

1-ya Myasnikovskaya str., 3/3, Moscow, 107564



I. V. Zhdanenko
Federal State Budgetary Establishment “All-Russian Scientific Research Institute for Civil Defence and Emergencies of the EMERCOM of Russia” (Federal Science and High Technology Center)
Russian Federation

 Irina V. Zhdanenko

Davydkovskaya str., 7, Moscow, 121352



A. N. Kladukhin
Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University)
Russian Federation

Alexander N. Kladukhin 

Volokolamskoe shosse, 4, Moscow, 125993



References

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2. Mushkov A.Yu., Afanasyev A. L., Kuslin S. S. Method for assessing the quality of scientific and technological forecasts // Scientific Bulletin of the Military- Industrial Complex of Russia. 2023;(4):12–23. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.52135/2410-4124_2023_4_12

3. Leonov A. V., Pronin A. Yu. Modified evaluation method of the scientific and technological achievements impact on the advanced weapons development // Armament and Economics. 2018;(2):68–79. (In Russ.)

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6. Burenok V. M. Military- economic and innovative aspects of the integration of non-traditional types of weapons into the weapons system / V. M. Burenok, A. V. Leonov, A. Yu. Pronin. M.: Publishing group «Border», 2014. 240 p. ISBN 978-5-94691-664-6. EDN YOMECK. (In Russ.)


Review

For citations:


Durnev R.A., Zhdanenko I.V., Kladukhin A.N. Forecast of Science and Technology Development: an Approach to Quality Assessment. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2024;21(6):100-107. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)