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Modeling and Forecasting of Risks of Financial and Economic Activities of the Enterprise
Abstract
The article pays attention to theoretical and methodological approaches to assessing and predicting the risks of financial and economic activities of the enterprise. Models of analytical theory and practice cited in the works of various authors, including the authors of the presented article, are analyzed. T he author's approach to calculation of enterprise risk forecast on the basis of economic and mathematical model is offered. T he author's approach involves assessment and predictive risk modeling based on a set of key indicators of financial and economic activities within the framework of the basic model of the enterprise with a set of stable indicators in the system of components of the material block (production and personnel condition) and the financial block (financial condition). Predictive modeling is based on current formulas for assessing key risks, and in this study it is disclosed using the example of a set of key indicators of the financial unit.
About the Authors
E. V. Karanina
Vyatka State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Elena V. Karanina
Moskovskaya str., 36, Kirov, 610000
F. I. Ereshko
Federal Research Center «Informatics and Management» RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Felix I. Ereshko
Vavilov str., 44, bldg. 2, Moscow, 119333
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Review
For citations:
Karanina E.V., Ereshko F.I. Modeling and Forecasting of Risks of Financial and Economic Activities of the Enterprise. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2024;21(6):66-80. (In Russ.)
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