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Expert System of Technical and Economic Assessment the Feasibility of Using Digital Twins Technology at Various Stages of the Life Cycle Emergency Rescue Equipment

Abstract

The article discusses a methodological approach to solving the problem of technical and economic justification of the feasibility of using digital twin technology at various stages of the life cycle of emergency rescue equipment, based on the method of hierarchy analysis, which allows to obtain a unique situational assessment based on specific characteristics of emergency rescue equipment, technological and production process parameters. In addition to the expert character, such an assessment is also characterized by significant uncertainty, which does not have a statistical (probabilistic) character (which, however, is typical for many economic phenomena), which have a pronounced qualitative nature. To choose ways to account for these uncertainties, it should be noted that, taking into account the expert and uncertain nature of the technical and economic assessment of the feasibility of using digital twins technology, various expert knowledge systems based on.

About the Authors

R. A. Durnev
Russian Academy of Missile and Artillery Sciences
Russian Federation

Roman A. Durnev

1-ya Myasnikovskaya str., 3/3, Moscow, 107564



I. V. Zhdanenko
Federal State Budgetary Establishment “All-Russian Scientific Research Institute for Civil Defence and Emergencies of the EMERCOM of Russia” (Federal Science and High Technology Center)
Russian Federation

Irina V. Zhdanenko

Davydkovskaya str., 7, Moscow, 121352



E. V. Sviridok
Russian Academy of Missile and Artillery Sciences
Russian Federation

Ekaterina V. Sviridok

1-ya Myasnikovskaya str., 3/3, Moscow, 107564



References

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Review

For citations:


Durnev R.A., Zhdanenko I.V., Sviridok E.V. Expert System of Technical and Economic Assessment the Feasibility of Using Digital Twins Technology at Various Stages of the Life Cycle Emergency Rescue Equipment. Issues of Risk Analysis. 2024;21(2):42–53. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 1812-5220 (Print)
ISSN 2658-7882 (Online)