proanarisПроблемы анализа рискаIssues of Risk Analysis1812-52202658-7882ФГБУ ВНИИ ГОЧС (ФЦ)10.32686/1812-5220-2023-20-2-10-25proanaris-688Research ArticleСоциально-экономическая безопасность регионовSocio-Economic Security of the RegionsВлияние международных санкций на социально-экономическую безопасность регионовImpact of International Sanctions on the Socio-Economic Security of Regionshttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-5912КаранинаЕ. В.KaraninaE. V.

Каранина Елена Валерьевна: доктор экономических наук, профессор, заведующая кафедрой финансов и экономической безопасности

ResearcherID: L-1395-2016Scopus Author ID: 57192661919

610000, г. Киров, ул. Московская, д. 36

Elena V. Karanina

Moskovskaya str., 36, Kirov, 610000

Karanina@vyatsu.ruСелезневаЕ. Ю.SeleznevaE. Yu.

Селезнева Екатерина Юрьевна: кандидат экономических наук, преподаватель кафедры финансов и экономической безопасности

Scopus Author ID: 57214088196

610000, г. Киров, ул. Московская, д. 36

Ekaterina Yu. Selezneva

Moskovskaya str., 36, Kirov, 610000

usr21500@vyatsu.ruВятский государственный университетРоссияVyatka State UniversityRussian Federation2023290420232021025Copyright © Каранина Е.В., Селезнева Е.Ю., 20232023Каранина Е.В., Селезнева Е.Ю.Karanina E.V., Selezneva E.Y.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.risk-journal.com/jour/article/view/688

С 2014 г. тема санкций и контрсанкций не сходит с первых страниц популярных и научных изданий и большинства информационных ресурсов. Большое количество работ отечественных и зарубежных авторов, консалтинговых агентств давали как позитивные, так и негативные прогнозы влияния антироссийских санкций на экономику страны в целом. На протяжении 8 лет были введены разные виды санкций, которые наносили экономический удар как по частным лицам, так и по секторам экономики и конкретным корпорациям, которые представлены в разных регионах страны, что, несомненно, несет риски и для социально-экономической безопасности субъектов РФ. Субъекты РФ имеют различную структуру экономики и уровень социально-экономического развития, при этом влияние санкций на уровень социально-экономической безопасности отдельных регионов и возможности их нивелирования пока недостаточно исследованы, что придает этой теме высокую актуальность. Целью исследования является оценка природы санкций и их влияния на социально-экономическую безопасность регионов. В работе использованы библиографический, аналитические, статистико-математические методы исследования, анализируются открытые статистические данные в разрезе регионов Приволжского федерального округа (ПФО). В результате проведенного исследования представлен анализ степени влияния санкционного давления на показатели внешнеторговых операций, доступности технологий, уровня просроченных кредитов, финансовых результатов деятельности компаний. В результате исследования обозначены факторы, которые в большей степени влияют на состояние региональной экономики, показатели, индикаторы, и определены направления снижения влияния санкций на социально-экономическую безопасность регионов ПФО.

Since 2014, the problem of sanctions and counter-sanctions has not left the front pages of popular and scientific publications and most information resources. A large number of works by domestic and foreign authors, consulting agencies gave both positive and negative forecasts of the impact of anti-Russian sanctions on the country’s economy as a whole. Over the course of 8 years, various types of sanctions were introduced that dealt an economic blow to both individuals and sectors of the economy and specific corporations that are represented in different regions of the country, which undoubtedly carries risks for the socio-economic security of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. The subjects of the Russian Federation have a different structure of the economy and the level of socio-economic development, while the impact of sanctions on the level of socio-economic security of individual regions and the possibilities of leveling them have not yet been sufficiently investigated, which gives this topic high relevance. The purpose of the study is to assess the nature of the sanctions and their impact on the socio-economic security of the regions. The work uses bibliographic, analytical, statistical and mathematical research methods, analyzes open statistical data in the context of the regions of the Volga Federal District (VFD). As a result of the study, an analysis of the degree of influence of sanctions pressure on the indicators of foreign trade operations, the availability of technologies, the level of overdue loans, and the financial results of companies’ activities was presented. As a result of the study, factors were identified that have a greater impact on the state of the regional economy, indicators, indicators and directions for reducing the impact of sanctions on the socio-economic security of the Volga Federal District regions.

регионсанкциисоциально-экономическая безопасностьиндикаторывлияниенивелированиеregionsanctionssocial and economic securityindicatorsinfluencelevelingСтатья подготовлена при поддержке гранта Президента Российской Федерации НШ-5187.2022.2 для государственной поддержки ведущих научных школ Российской Федерации в рамках темы исследования «Разработка и обоснование концепции, комплексной модели резилиенс-диагностики рисков и угроз безопасности региональных экосистем и технологии ее применения на основе цифрового двойника».The article was prepared with the support of a grant from the President of the Russian Federation NSh-5187.2022.2 for state support of leading scientific schools of the Russian Federation within the framework of the research topic "Development and substantiation of the concept, integrated model of resonance diagnostics of risks and threats to the security of regional ecosystems and technology for its application based on a digital twin".ReferencesКазанцев С. В. 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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.