<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">proanaris</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы анализа риска</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Issues of Risk Analysis</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1812-5220</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-7882</issn><publisher><publisher-name>ФГБУ ВНИИ ГОЧС (ФЦ)</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.32686/1812-5220-2016-13-6-22-28</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">proanaris-57</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>РЕГИОНАЛЬНЫЕ И СТРАНОВЫЕ РИСКИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>REGIONAL AND COUNTRY RISKS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Риски Брекзита</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>RISKS OF BREXIT</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Хмыз</surname><given-names>О. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Khmyz</surname><given-names>O. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">khmyz@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Московский государственный институт международных отношений (университет) Министерства иностранных дел Российской Федерации</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Moscow State Institute of International Relations (University) of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2016</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>09</day><month>10</month><year>2018</year></pub-date><volume>13</volume><issue>6</issue><fpage>22</fpage><lpage>28</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Хмыз О.В., 2018</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2018</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Хмыз О.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Khmyz O.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.risk-journal.com/jour/article/view/57">https://www.risk-journal.com/jour/article/view/57</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье анализируются уже наступившие и вероятные последствия исторического решения Великобритании о выходе из Европейского Союза, приводящие к появлению и обострению национальных, региональных и глобальных рисков</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The paper analyzes already arrived and potential consequences of the historic decision to exit Britain from the European Union, leading to the emergence and escalation of national, regional and global risks.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>риск</kwd><kwd>Брекзит</kwd><kwd>Великобритания</kwd><kwd>Европейский Союз</kwd><kwd>Германия</kwd><kwd>Лондон</kwd><kwd>Франкфурт</kwd><kwd>финансовый риск</kwd><kwd>валютный риск</kwd><kwd>процентный риск</kwd><kwd>рынки капитала</kwd><kwd>валютный курс</kwd><kwd>финансовые рынки</kwd><kwd>бюджет</kwd><kwd>фунт</kwd><kwd>доллар</kwd><kwd>евро</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>risk</kwd><kwd>Brexit</kwd><kwd>United Kingdom</kwd><kwd>European Union</kwd><kwd>Germany</kwd><kwd>London</kwd><kwd>Frankfurt</kwd><kwd>financial risk</kwd><kwd>currency risk</kwd><kwd>interest rate risk</kwd><kwd>capital markets</kwd><kwd>exchange rates</kwd><kwd>financial markets</kwd><kwd>budget</kwd><kwd>pound</kwd><kwd>dollar</kwd><kwd>euro</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Sommella Di R. Vertice Ventotene: Renzi, Merkel, Hollande insieme per sconfiggere la paura di Euxit // L’huffington post. 21.08.2016. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.huffingtonpost.it/2016/08/21/ventotenevertice_n_11641032.html (accessed 23.09.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Sommella Di R. Vertice Ventotene: Renzi, Merkel, Hollande insieme per sconfiggere la paura di Euxit // L’huffington post. 21.08.2016. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.huffingtonpost.it/2016/08/21/ventotenevertice_n_11641032.html (accessed 23.09.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">The Lisbon Treaty [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/ treaty-on-the-functioning-of-the-european-union-andcomments.html (accessed 13.09.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">The Lisbon Treaty [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/ treaty-on-the-functioning-of-the-european-union-andcomments.html (accessed 13.09.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Key Facts about UK Financial and Related Professional Services 2016. The City of UK. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https://www.thecityuk.com/assets/2016/ Reports-PDF/Key-facts-about-UK-financial-and-relatedprofessional-services-2016.pdf (accessed 17.11.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Key Facts about UK Financial and Related Professional Services 2016. The City of UK. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https://www.thecityuk.com/assets/2016/ Reports-PDF/Key-facts-about-UK-financial-and-relatedprofessional-services-2016.pdf (accessed 17.11.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Портной М.А. Финансовый кризис в США: причины, масштабы, последствия // США и Канада: экономика, политика, культура. 2008. № 12. С. 4-18.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Портной М.А. Финансовый кризис в США: причины, масштабы, последствия // США и Канада: экономика, политика, культура. 2008. № 12. С. 4-18.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Звонова Е.А. Современные проблемы государственных долгов и суверенных дефолтов в странах Евросоюза // Вестник Финансового университета. 2016. Т. 20. № 4. С. 105-117.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Звонова Е.А. Современные проблемы государственных долгов и суверенных дефолтов в странах Евросоюза // Вестник Финансового университета. 2016. Т. 20. № 4. С. 105-117.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Assessing the implementation of the EU Framework for National Roma Integration Strategies and the Council Recommendation on effective Roma integration measures in the Member States - 2016. Brussels, 27.6.2016. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https:// ec.europa.eu/transparency/regdoc/rep/1/2016/EN/1-2016424-EN-F1-1.PDF (accessed 17.11.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Assessing the implementation of the EU Framework for National Roma Integration Strategies and the Council Recommendation on effective Roma integration measures in the Member States - 2016. Brussels, 27.6.2016. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https:// ec.europa.eu/transparency/regdoc/rep/1/2016/EN/1-2016424-EN-F1-1.PDF (accessed 17.11.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Мировая экономика и международные экономические отношения / Под ред. А.С. Булатова, Н.Н. Ливенцева. М.: Магистр, 2008. 654 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Мировая экономика и международные экономические отношения / Под ред. А.С. Булатова, Н.Н. Ливенцева. М.: Магистр, 2008. 654 с.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kirkup J. EU Facts: how much does Britain pay to the EU budget? // The Telegraph. 2016. November, 19. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.telegraph. co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12176663/EUFacts-how-much-does-Britain-pay-to-the-EU-budget. html (accessed 21.11.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kirkup J. EU Facts: how much does Britain pay to the EU budget? // The Telegraph. 2016. November, 19. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.telegraph. co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12176663/EUFacts-how-much-does-Britain-pay-to-the-EU-budget. html (accessed 21.11.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">BREXIT could be expensive - especially for the United Kingdom… [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/en/topics/aktuellemeldungen/2015/april/brexit-could-be-expensive-especially-for-the-united-kingdom/ (accessed 25.11.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">BREXIT could be expensive - especially for the United Kingdom… [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/en/topics/aktuellemeldungen/2015/april/brexit-could-be-expensive-especially-for-the-united-kingdom/ (accessed 25.11.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">UK balance of payments statistics. Office for National Statistics. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https:// www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/datasets/balanceofpaymentsstatisticalbulletintables (accessed 14.11.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">UK balance of payments statistics. Office for National Statistics. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https:// www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/datasets/balanceofpaymentsstatisticalbulletintables (accessed 14.11.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Leong R. Sterling hits 31-year low; report on ECB helps euro // Reuters Business News. 2016. October, 4. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-forex-idUSKCN12401D?il=0 (accessed 11.10.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Leong R. Sterling hits 31-year low; report on ECB helps euro // Reuters Business News. 2016. October, 4. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-forex-idUSKCN12401D?il=0 (accessed 11.10.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Price R. BREXIT: Theresa May will trigger Article 50 before the end of March 2017 // Business Insider UK. 2016. October, 2. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http:// uk.businessinsider.com/r-uk-pm-says-will-begin-brexitprocess-before-german-election-sunday-times-2016-10 (accessed 12.10.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Price R. BREXIT: Theresa May will trigger Article 50 before the end of March 2017 // Business Insider UK. 2016. October, 2. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http:// uk.businessinsider.com/r-uk-pm-says-will-begin-brexitprocess-before-german-election-sunday-times-2016-10 (accessed 12.10.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Hollande demands tough Brexit negotiations. // Financial Times. 2016. October, 6.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Hollande demands tough Brexit negotiations. // Financial Times. 2016. October, 6.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Cave S., Allen M. Possible models for the UK-EU relationship post ‘Brexit’ [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http:// www.niassembly.gov.uk/globalassets/documents/raise/publications/2016-2021/2016/aera/4716.pdf (accessed 12.10.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Cave S., Allen M. Possible models for the UK-EU relationship post ‘Brexit’ [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http:// www.niassembly.gov.uk/globalassets/documents/raise/publications/2016-2021/2016/aera/4716.pdf (accessed 12.10.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit15"><label>15</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Triennial Central Bank Survey. Bank for International Settlements, 2016. September.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Triennial Central Bank Survey. Bank for International Settlements, 2016. September.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit16"><label>16</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Share of national currencies in total identified official holdings of foreign exchange, end of year 2016.Washington DC: International Monetary Fund. 2016. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A09EC4E62A4 (accessed 22.11.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Share of national currencies in total identified official holdings of foreign exchange, end of year 2016.Washington DC: International Monetary Fund. 2016. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A09EC4E62A4 (accessed 22.11.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit17"><label>17</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">The Global Financial Centres Index 20. Long Finance, 2016. September.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">The Global Financial Centres Index 20. Long Finance, 2016. September.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit18"><label>18</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Uncertainty in the Aftermath of the U.K. Referendum. Washington DC: International Monetary Fund. 2016. July [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https://www.imf.org/ external/pubs/ft/weo/2016/update/02/ (accessed 22.11.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Uncertainty in the Aftermath of the U.K. Referendum. Washington DC: International Monetary Fund. 2016. July [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: https://www.imf.org/ external/pubs/ft/weo/2016/update/02/ (accessed 22.11.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit19"><label>19</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Сумароков В.Н. Европейская интеграция: испытание кризисом // Экономические науки. 2012. № 97. С. 185-191.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Сумароков В.Н. Европейская интеграция: испытание кризисом // Экономические науки. 2012. № 97. С. 185-191.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit20"><label>20</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Summers L. Why stagnation might prove to be the new normal // Financial Times, 2013. December, 15.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Summers L. Why stagnation might prove to be the new normal // Financial Times, 2013. December, 15.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit21"><label>21</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">FT Banking Summit 2016. Security, Agility and Resilience in Volatile Times. London, 2016. November, 16.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">FT Banking Summit 2016. Security, Agility and Resilience in Volatile Times. London, 2016. November, 16.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit22"><label>22</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Brexit throws ‘spanner in the works’ of global growth // BBC News. 2016. July, 19. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36834977 (accessed 25.06.2016)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Brexit throws ‘spanner in the works’ of global growth // BBC News. 2016. July, 19. [Electronic resource] Mode of access URL: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36834977 (accessed 25.06.2016)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
